The fourth-seeded Maryland Terrapins are still dancing after taming Obi Toppin and the entertaining-as-hell Dayton Flyers, which recently became the 11th team to snag both AP Player of the Year and Coach of the Year honors in the same season. The favorites: A tip of the cap to our model, which saw both favorites advancing, including one that toppled a No. Can Malachi Flynn pace the Aztecs to a win? San Diego State enters with a 76 percent win probability. 2 San Diego State, a rematch of 2013’s second-round matchup. This century hasn’t been kind to the Sooners in the NCAA Tournament, but they’ve pulled it together against the Ducks. The Sooners had a 34 percent win probability this time, but they won a nail-biter over the Payton Pritchard-led Ducks. The upsets: For the second time in five years, Oklahoma entered a tournament game with Oregon as the lower seed and played the role of eliminator. The favorites: San Diego State dismantled Indiana on its way to a first-ever appearance in Elite Eight. As Kansas coach Bill Self once astutely put it, “There is something very competitive when you get Kentucky and Kansas together.” The Jayhawks enter the matchup with a 69 percent win probability. Larry Brown disciple versus Larry Brown disciple. And in a rematch of the 2012 national championship game, it will be Kansas vs. 3 Duke Blue Devils were eliminated early and an 11-seed advanced to the Sweet 16, this region got chalky in a hurry. John Calipari will once again lead Kentucky into a regional final - something he’s gotten used to, having accomplished the feat seven times in his first 10 seasons with the Wildcats. 11 East Tennessee State as the Wildcats earned a nation-leading 38th Elite Eight appearance and salvaged an otherwise down season for the SEC. Second-seeded Kentucky extinguished the Cinderella flame of No. 5 Auburn Tigers to reach the Elite Eight for a nation-leading 11th time this century. The top-seeded Kansas Jayhawks steamrolled the No. The favorites: College basketball’s two all-time winningest programs each entered the regional semifinals with win probabilities north of 70 percent and emerged from the regional semifinals with double-digit victories in tow. After our first and second rounds played out, here’s how the Sweet 16 might have gone. Check back on Fridays and Mondays through April 6 for how each round of the men’s and women’s brackets went. We built an NCAA Tournament bracket, using ESPN’s Bracketology, and we’ll be simulating the results of each game by using a simple “100-sided dice roll” against our forecast probabilities. It will be the game to watch on Thursday night, and the winner will be one more game away from a trip to Atlanta.Though there are no actual games to be played, FiveThirtyEight is still taking a shot at a little March Madness. The two teams feature high-powered offenses with big-play potential. This game will be loaded with star players, including Cody Zeller, Michael Carter-Williams, James Southerland and Victor Oladipo. Perhaps the most intense matchup will be the Indiana Hoosiers going up against the Syracuse Orange. The Cardinals have some impressive players, including guys like Gorgui Dieng and Russ Smith, who can lead this team to a deep run.Ī win for the Ducks would certainly add to the chaos which has been the NCAA tournament this year. The Ducks will be seriously tested in their third game, however, as they will be playing the No. 12 seed despite a pretty solid overall season. They came into the tournament with a chip on their shoulder after receiving only a No.
If it weren’t for the Eagles, the Oregon Ducks would be talked about a lot more than they have been. It’s a tough task, but the Eagles have made it clear that they are the best No. Erik Murphy, Mike Rosario and Kenny Boynton all combine for 27.4 points per game, and are the main reason for the Gators’ success this season.
The Eagles will have their hands full, playing against a Gators team that features three seniors.
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